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We know almost all the polls’ forecast before casting our vote on 26th June election, the second general election in Spain after six months. Although at this point, we do not know how it can be settled the winning great coalition after the elections. The Spanish people have the fear about going again to the polls for the third time again around the next Christmas, which is at the moment more than just a hypothesis if there is not a political agreement.
There is no choice but waiting until Sunday night, in order to know the number of seats for each political party. But, according to the polls published in recent days, there is one fundamental coincidence: no one will have an overall majority, and therefore it will be required to make agreements in order to govern. If we realize about the positions expressed by the main parties in relation to these agreements, it is not madness to think about the hypothesis of a new political impasse, where the investiture of a Prime Minister is impossible.
These agreements could be shaped by getting together the Conservatives PP, the Social democratic PSOE, and the Liberals ‘Ciudadanos’, parties which meet the democratic requirements, as it happened to date since the democracy was restored in Spain in 1977. All the presidents so far, despite of their differences which were not few, were part of the great family of liberal democracy.
Those who do not fit into that model are the communists ‘Unidos Podemos’. They do not believe in formal and representative democracy. They do not believe in the market’ economy. They do not believe in the human rights as something inherent in the nature of the people. And they do not even believe in the virtues of belonging to the European Union.
Unless in a few days some million voters are changing their minds, it will be no party which approaches the minimum seats which allows them to form a Cabinet. The PP will win, yes, but not with the required majority and it could not rule without the support of the others. ‘Unidos Podemos‘, the populist communist party, will not achieved any ministry chair without the support of the PSOE. And it does not look that the socialists are willing to give the Administration to those who want to kill them.
It seems like the PSOE has the key to decide who will govern. But this decision, whatever it would be, place them in a very difficult situation and puts Spain in a terrible dilemma: either populism or a weak Cabinet.
I can not imagine why it is impossible to make a great coalition, designed by clever men for the Spanish people, who have proven more than enough to seek the stability and tranquility since the first democratic elections of this period. As on the other hand, we should mirror in the countries of our surroundings, on which we should look in democratic terms, to Northern Europe.