Unpredictable or mistaken?

I’m afraid this is going to be an incendiary article. One of the kind I will receive some comments, not the nice ones, I guess. It is about my view of the recent events in the United States.

It seems to me quite evident the fact that only in few Western nations, the scourge of racism is present as it is still in the United States. Some historians emphasize that it is not only an aberrant sentiment shared by some segments of the population, but it has been a structural factor in the socio-economic formation of the country, from before even its foundation, and which today still manifests in very different forms. Obama himself, until now the only African-American president of the US, ended his term expressing his impotence over how little progress he made in reducing the inequality and racial hatred’ gap.

Today, the US is an increasingly polarized society, with the danger that it represents. Although all the laws in the country are now consecrating equality, and since the great struggles in the 1960s there have been extraordinary advances in the field of civil rights, racism and discrimination, very open wounds remain.

The US has a serious issue with the rise of the ultra-right-wing supremacist movements. And for that cause, the ambiguity with which Trump condemned what happened in Charlottesville was very unfortunate, attributing the fault “to many parts“, without aiming directly at the white supremacists. The president has equally angered Republicans and Democrats alike. And again, he demonstrates his inability to exercise the moral leadership that corresponds to his position.

After these events and after only seven months in office, the gap between the Republicans and their president is beginning to be insurmountable. Donald Trump’s rectification about the Charlottesville riots in the form of a new nod to the white supremacists, after he had first lashed out at them, has had even more impact than his equidistant sharing of blame between extreme right and extreme left about the unfortunate racist riots in the first place.

The two former presidents Bush, George H. W. and George W., stepped out of rectification with a joined statement: “America must always reject racial fanaticism, anti-Semitism and all forms of hatred.” The rejection of the senators is absolute, including Trump’s bigger supporters, who blamed him for his lack of moral leadership, “is dividing the Americans, rather than uniting them,” as denounced by Sen. Lindsey Graham. The president’s phrase “there is also good people among white supremacists” has been devastating for the Republican Party.

Trump is hurting the White House: these facts has led to the mass batch of companies which formed Trump’s Manufacturing Advisory Board, which he has been forced to dissolve it. The impact of a president’s unprecedented behaviour toward racist groups in the United States is directly threatening his own agenda. The enormous distance between the White House and Republican congressmen will make increasingly difficult for the president’s initiatives to get ahead in the legislature. The failure with ‘Obamacare’ was the first warning. Trump’s effort to be conciliatory with racist men, threatens his tax cuts and the infrastructure plan which he has just submitted.

These recent events have placed Trump in front of an awkward mirror. The idea of the post-racial America, which was fondled when the African-American Barack Obama first came to the White House, an era in which the race’ issue would move to a secondary place, has faded. President Trump has repeatedly emphasized the value of being “unpredictable,” and he has set a pattern for triggering poorly conceived comments, which make him seem deranged sometimes. He seems to believe that this kind of behaviour will persuade both the allies and the adversaries, who will do what he asks or needs to be done, for fear that this impulsive man would do something terrible. It is wrong. With these actions, he could become a failed president. Fire and fury is a boomerang which destroys everything and everyone.

North Korea: Why the escalation now?

Contrary to the traditional meekness and diplomacy with which the US presidents have faced the delicate problem of North Korea, Donald Trump has been involved in a verbal duel with the North Korean regime which is keeping the whole international community alert. Trump’s warning about he will unleash “a never seen sea of fury and fire” has exalted the North Korean leader, already a person of erratic behaviour and quite easy to excite.

On the very last July 4th, the American Independence Day, the North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un announced a “gift for North American bastards”: The North Korean army successfully tested an intercontinental missile capable of reaching US territory. Announced on last Tuesday by the North Korean state television (KCNA), which reported that Kim Jong-Un witnessed the launch, like he usually does. Since then, provocations and warnings from one side to another have occurred, as if it were a race to utter the last word, ever stronger and more aggressive. Trump’s strategy of maintaining maximum tension, perhaps as the way to get China out of inaction with Pyongyang, is becoming increasingly unique. In the midst of the escalating tension between the US and North Korea, President Donald Trump regained his war rhetoric and redoubled the tone of his threats against the Pyongyang regime: “They should be very, very nervous.”

As a finishing touch, the “beloved leader” as he likes to be called, of the last Stalinist regime on the planet, Kim Jong-Un, made public his intention to launch an attack on the island of Guam, an island taken from Spain in 1898 and where the US maintains a contingent of more than 3000 soldiers. The North Korean “beloved leader” did not just announce his pretensions, but presented an exhaustive military plan with all the details of the hypothetical attack. Thus, he was putting more fuel to the fire of his unprecedented verbal shock with the United States. North Korea threatened with a “sea of fire” to Washington after the harsh economic sanctions against the country approved by the UN Security Council. North Korea occasionally threatens to “turn Seoul into a Sea of Fire.”  The South Korean, US and other international media often relay this statement, amplifying its effect. But it is yet quiet normal North Korean dialectics.

But for the first time in a long time, the international markets are showing signs of concern over the escalating North Korean threat. Although the balance of tension has reached a point never seen before, many experts doubt that a military conflict will indeed be triggered. It would not benefit either party. For North Korea, a war against the US would mean to signing its disappearance as a country. For the US would be a serious deterioration of relations with its allies in Asia, mainly Japan and South Korea, who would pay very dearly in human lives. It seems that Kim Jong-Un’s regime has settled into such a crazy moving forward, as is the mood of the “beloved leader”, which prevents him from gauging how far he can stretch the rope without causing a catastrophe. Not only because of such direct threats to the US, if there were to be an attack on its territory, would an immediate war unfold which would suppose the end of the Stalinist and hereditary Kim’ regime, but which would cause many victims in neighbouring countries and allies such as South or Japan.

For years, the White House has tried to defuse the tension, pushing ways of negotiating to various side, although truly unsuccessfully, and urging China, at the same time, to exert its influence over Pyongyang. The sanctions imposed on the regime were relatively limited and Washington appeased the fears of its partners in the region, Seoul and Tokyo, reinforcing military alliances and defence systems. But the Trump Administration seems determined to go further.

North Korea has conducted five nuclear tests. That is really quite a lot. Some expert analysts in North Korea, such as Jeffrey Lewis of Foreign Policy, ensures that “some of my colleagues still think the United States might persuade North Korea to abandon, or at least freeze, its nuclear and missile programs. I am not so sure. I suspect we might have to settle for trying to reduce tensions so that we live long enough to figure this problem out. But there is only one way to figure out who is right: Talk to the North Koreans. There is no other alternative. The other options are basically terrible.”

My opinion is that the luck we have is these threats are not for those North Korea adversaries but for their followers, which guarantees the peace in some way. I’ve always been fascinated by the closed world of the Kim’s, since everything there seems so aberrant to me. Guys who believe that Kim Jong Il, father of Kim Jong-Un, never defecated, as his biography claims. Or that he could make eleven holes of golf in one shot, or that he published 1,500 books and the three best world operas in just three years. But the truth is that a dictatorship is not a place where the people believe a lot of stupid things, but in which you cannot say that you do not believe them. It seems like the secrecy attributed to North Korea contrasts with so many ridiculous details which the biographers give us about their leaders.

Despite the disastrous situation of North Korea’s economy, now a little better than in the 1990s when the country suffered a terrible famine, the regime extensively uses military propaganda and exploits its role as a victim to mask the misery, the continuing violations of human rights and the lack of freedoms of the population. And the North Korean authorities are aware that nuclear weapons are the only option they have for counteracting their asymmetrical relationship with their rivals.

As the concerns grow over an unprecedented possible military conflict, which aligns the main powers between the criticisms in the language of Trump, as Germany, with Chancellor Merkel to the front, and those who support him, as the United Kingdom, the former Spanish island of Guam, is situated in the worst of the situations. But for the time being, as US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has said, given his less provocative mood, and based on expert analysts, “the Americans can quietly sleep.”

Critical time in Venezuela

 

The decomposition of the Chavismo in Venezuela is advancing in giant steps. In these last hours, the kleptocracy dictatorship which heads Nicolas Maduro adds the greatest discredit to the ridiculous one: the revelation that the recount of the votes to the Constituent Assembly was manipulated, leaves the regime in an unsustainable situation. What was intended to be the main argument to legitimize its maintenance in power has already become the indisputable demonstration that it cannot remain in charge of Venezuela for another minute. If the international community had chosen not to recognize the results of the elections because it was clearly unconstitutional what was being approved, the announcement that the scrutiny was altered, declared nothing less by the company in charge of supervising it, ruined all the plans of the tyrant to cling to power. On the contrary, it accumulates one more crime to the list of crimes for which Maduro would must answer before an international court.

The figures of the participation in the election for the Constituent Assembly of Venezuela were manipulated by at least one million votes, according to Smartmatic, the company which works in Venezuela since 2004 observing the electoral processes. “We know, without a doubt, that the participation data of the recent elections for a National Constituent Assembly was manipulated,” said Smartmatic CEO Antonio Mugica at a press conference in London. “We estimate that the difference between real and reported participation by the authorities is at least one million votes.” That same morning, Reuters had already voiced alarm over the disparity in the participation: according to internal Electoral Council data, only 3.7 million people had voted at 5:30pm in those controversial elections to the Constituent Assembly of Venezuela. According to the Maduro government, a total of 8.1 million people came to the polls.

Nicolas Maduro and his more radical followers threatened before Sunday’s Constituent Assembly to crush the opposition and eliminate parliamentary immunity. Said and done. Just a few hours after consummating their coup to the National Assembly, agents of the Bolivarian Intelligence Service (Sebin) broke into the homes of two of the main opposition leaders, Leopoldo Lopez, leader of the Popular Volition, and Antonio Ledezma, Mayor of Caracas, to revoke their house arrest, and take them back to a prison. So far it is not known where they are. Ledezma and Lopez are the most critical personalities with the Maduro regime.

As reported by the Spanish newspaper ABC, the wife of the opposition leader Antonio Ledezma said, “Nicolas Maduro no longer has more argument than the force, the crude repression against most Venezuelans, who have done everything possible, within the narrow margins left by the dictatorship, to peacefully claim their ideas.” After the rupture of the constitutional order, the dictator has no possible defence. The words of condemnation and rejection of the whole world against their attempts to subvert the legality to cling cynically to power are nothing more than the verification of what Venezuelans have been denouncing and suffering for more than a decade. The Chavism, the Bolivarian socialism, or whatever the revolutionary project which has been perpetrated there was called, was nothing more than a one-way road to totalitarianism, so that finally the country officially enters the Dictatorship which was already de facto. There are no longer any votes with which to achieve the political change that most Venezuelans still claim on the streets, with more than 120 deaths because of the protests. There is only one way out.

The utopia which has ruined one of the richest countries in the world, and which in its last moments is summed up in the pathetic scenario of a dictator who is determined to stay in power by the force, crushing the citizens and arresting the opposition leaders. The Castrochavism will be remembered as the author of an economic miracle in reverse: making the richest country in Latin America, a miserable one is not a feat every day. It has created so much poverty that every day people must fight with teeth, a bag of milk, a kilo of flour or a piece of meat. In that frantic race towards disaster, the Castrochavista government had to proceed to the gradual elimination of all freedoms, of thought and conscience, to the ruin of institutions, journalism, parties, universities, trade unions. For everything has been fulfilled after the relentless design of the inspiring elders of this system, Fidel and Raul Castro, who once again have demonstrated their audacity, their total lack of consideration and respect for the most important values ​​of the human kind, but also their absolute lack of talent.

The Venezuelan people are in the streets, ready to be killed. And they’re being killed. Youth, students, who know they have no future, are not afraid and will not allow any cowardly continuity. The businessmen lost everything a while ago. And the corrupted by the system see with terror that the system no longer has money to buy their consciences. For those accomplices with this ignominy who establish an awkward equidistance with the governments which preceded the Chavism, they only should contemplate the devastating scenario of a country whose economy has been consumed by a corrupt fever a thousand times more perverse than the one registered in the worst times of any the previous regimes. And those who insist that sanctions have no effect other than to harm citizens, it should be remembered that what protesters are asking for is not just freedom, but also food and basic consumer goods which have disappeared from the market, not because of the sanctions, but because of the catastrophic management of this narco-regime and its Cuban accomplices. The Castrochavista corrupt and murderous regime has shown that is willing to anything to stay in power which means murdering more people. The world must do everything possible to end with Maduro in power as soon as possible.